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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • I just read an article stating that Ford lost 36k on every EV they sold in 2023…

    Ford, and other American auto makers, were asleep at the wheel when EVs were starting to take off. Ford and GM doubled down on selling pickups and big SUVs which had good margins. Instead of investing in R&D to make a solid product they were caught unprepared and had to throw everything at the wall to see what stuck with their first EVs. Yes, they were able to bring them to market fairly quickly (good), but at the cost of efficient of the product and the production method.

    This means for every EV they make, they do it expensively where they wouldn’t need to if they improved their designs and production methods.


  • Because Biden said you could? He’s the one that doubled tariffs on Chinese EVs from 50% to 100%. Biden also gave the EV tax credit which was essentially a subsidy to Tesla, which Trump ended.

    I don’t fault Biden for adding a tariff on Chinese EVs to temporarily protect the American auto manufacturing envornment. We just have too many jobs tied to the domestic production of cars. The immediate loss of those jobs would plunge the USA into deep recession. It looked like this was working too with many American companies adapting and coming out with EVs.

    However, most of those American EVs have been scaled back or canceled. Further, with the exception of the Chevy Bolt no domestic maker produced an affordable EV. Since American companies decided they don’t want to play in EVs anymore, I fully support removing the tariff and letting Chinese EVs into the USA. It looks like that will be the only thing that will force American car companies to compete. This situation closely mirrors the 1970s where Japan introduced small, reliable, fuel efficent cars, and affordable cars at a time when gasoline was crazy expensive.

    It looks like this time around it will be the Chinese that teach the American auto market to adapt instead.







  • So, what prediction did Bezos make back then, that seems particularly poignant right now? Bezos thinks that local PC hardware is antiquated, and that the future will revolve around cloud computing scenarios, where you rent your compute from companies like Amazon Web Services or Microsoft Azure.

    This isn’t a new idea, and it certainly predates Bezos.

    I’m older now, but throughout my life there has been a pendulum swing back and forth between local compute power vs remote compute power. The price of RAM going up follows the exact same path this has gone half a dozen times already in the last 50 years. Compute power gets cheap then it gets expensive, then it gets cheap again. Bezos’s statements are just the most recent example. He’s no prophet. This has just happened before, and it will revert again. Rinse repeat:

    • 1970s remote compute power: This couldn’t really compute anything locally and required dialing into a mainframe over an analog telephone line to access the remote computing power.

    • 1980s local compute power: CPUs got fast and cheap! Now you could do all your processing right on your desk without need of a central computer/mainframe

    • 1990s remote compute power: Thin clients! These were underpowered desktop units that could access the compute power in a server such as Citrix Winframe/Metaframe or SunOS (for SunRay thin clients). Honorable mention for retail type units like Microsoft WebTV which was the same concept with different hardware/software.

    • 2000s local compute power: This was the widespread adoption of desktop PCs with 3D graphics cards as a standard along with high power CPUs.

    • 2010s remote compute power: VDI appears! This is things like VMware Horizon or Citirix Virtual Desktop along with the launch of AWS for the first time.

    • 2020s local compute power: Powerful CPUs and massively fast GPUs are now now standard and affordable.

    • 2030s remote compute power…in the cloud…probably


  • In an ideal world, as they see your knowledge is harder and harder to replace, they’ll start paying more for it

    This is true and happens to me.

    , and that will hopefully be encouraging enough to the current workforce to learn the skills.

    Here’s the challenge. Someone new that doesn’t have the skills that is enticed by the money has to make two evaluations:

    • How hard is it to learn the skill?
    • How long with the skill be marketable?

    For me to learn the skill wasn’t difficult because is it was modern and contemporary technology at the time. Training and support resources existed, and I was able to incrementally learn how those older technologies continued to evolve or be accommodated as new technologies arrived to replace them, but then didn’t. That won’t be the case for someone new. They can’t even use the old training material I used (assuming it was even still around) because that was written assuming the technology pervasive and well supported while the opposite is true today.

    As for marketability, this is an even larger gamble. Many of these technologies should have been retired decades ago, but weren’t for a variety of niche reasons. No organizations are putting out new deployments of these old technologies. The customer base/employers wanting these skills decrease every year as old legacy systems are finally retired leaving even fewer opportunities for a new person to exercise these newly acquired old skills. Its a fact that someday there will be no users of them, but when will that be? It should have happened already so what new worker would want to try and gamble on going into extensive learning on technologies that should be dead by the time they master them?



  • Thw issue youll run into is effectiveness at that small scale, sonyoull be tempted to share data with other systems like that, and eventually you’ll end up creating a different flock.

    I wonder if a segregated system design could address this. Similar in-system segregation like a TPM for the actual detection/matching part of the system separated from the command and control part.

    As in, the camera and OCR operations would be in their own embedded system which could never receive code updates from the outside. Perhaps this is etched into the silicon SoC itself. Also on silicon would be a small NVRAM that could only hold requested license plate numbers (or a hash of them perhaps). This NVRAM would be WRITE ONLY. So it would never be able to be queried from outside the SOC. The raw camera feed would be wired to the SoC. The only input would be from an outside command and control system (still local to our SoC) that and administrator could send in new license plates numbers to search against. The output of the SoC would “Match found against License Plate X”. Even the time stamp would have to be applied by the outside command and control system.

    This would have some natural barriers against dragnet surveillance abuse.

    • It would never be possible to dump the license plates being searched for from the cameras themselves even by abusive admins. The only admin option would be to overwrite the list of what the camera is trying to match against.
    • The NVRAM that contains the match list could be intentionally sized small to perhaps a few hundreds plate numbers so that an abusive admin couldn’t simply generate every possible license plate combination effectively turning this back into a blanket surveillance tool. The NVRAM limit could be implemented as an on-die fuse link so that upon deployment the size could be made as small as needed for the use case.






  • What additional power would that give his goons?

    Its not automatic with martial law, but has been granted along with martial law imposition at times in US history: suspension of the writ of habeas corpus

    “The right to challenge one’s detention before a judge, known as the writ of habeas corpus, is a principle of the legal system that serves as a safeguard against unlawful imprisonment. It requires the government to provide a valid reason for holding a person in custody, preventing arbitrary detention.”

    source

    In other words, today you can be locked up, but the Constitution requires you have rights to go before a judge and challenge your incarceration, and the judge can choose to set you free.

    With the suspension you can still get locked up, but now they can just let you rot without any legal recourse to get you out.


  • There is a lot of research on aging repairs, I wonder if I might benefit from it in time.

    Most of that anti-aging stuff I’ve seen is close to moonshot type technology and even then with little gains. However, we’ve certainly found lots of things we like do to in our society that ages us faster that we can cut out. Sadly, some of the main contributors are expensive to avoid, such as stress. Just from my personal observation it doesn’t mean living a longer life as a numeric number of years, but instead those decades at the end become much closer in lifestyle to the lifestyle of our youth with regards to mobility, cognitive function, and overall health.


  • I’m on day 12 of a diet to control my reflux symptoms and I feel awful and run down.

    I have a family trait of reflux too. I have been able to largely alleviate it not with diet restrictions, but timing of consumption of foods and specific triggers. I like chocolate, which is a very clear trigger. Not being able to eat chocolate again would be a huge challenge for me, but knowing I just can’t eat chocolate within 5 hours or going to bed helps immensely.

    Was worried I’d never hit that ‘increased energy’ I had read about.

    I haven’t heard of decreased energy as a consequence of reflux. Or does this mean an “increase energy” from an otherwise more healthy diet you’re on which you’re doing to address your reflux?