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Cake day: July 7th, 2023

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  • No, it’s not like saying that at all. Comparable racially motivated arrest rates (and criticism) happens in towns like Ferguson, MO; Brookside, AL; Pine Lawn, MO; St. Ann, MO; Country Club Hills, MO; Walnut Grove, MS; Benton, AR; and Richland, MS to name only a few.

    Each of them is, as the commenter pointed out, in the south and many are in Missouri and Mississippi. These are racist towns that use arrests and police violence against, usually, black people as a violent form of oppression. Perhaps Ferguson, MO rings a bell?

    The other commenter wasn’t saying “there’s nothing to see here,” they are saying there’s a lot more to see here, and it happens to be regionally specific for these more egregious examples, but it happens across the country. Perhaps “Black Lives Matter” rings a bell? This is a large part of what BLM is about.




  • It doesn’t need a 4K screenshot. It needs enough data/metrics from any given single frame to run it through analytics and an algorithm to tailor ads. Backend surveillance like this isn’t interested in fidelity to the human viewing experience. It needs identifying data. That can be had through a combination of low quality data scrapes done numerous times.

    “Screenshot” is more like a metaphor here. Sort of like how your Apple or Google photos are “private,” but the data and analytics taken from them you’ve given away. It’s like if you told me I could look at all the photos on your phone and take as many notes and subject them to as much analysis as I wanted, but I promised not to actually physically keep your phone/photos. Probably makes you feel like your photos are securely still in your possession, but I got what I wanted. Your data is technically private, but my data about your data is mine.











  • When immoral crimes go unpunished due to a corrupt legal system, violence often follows. That judge isn’t the first, nor will be the last, to learn that claiming to be “above the law” offers no real protection. A fair and functional legal system is essential for a less violent society. When justice isn’t applied equally, violence rises. Laws don’t prevent violence—they only punish it afterward. I imagine many people’s last words were some version of “too bad, because that’s illegal.”


  • Crazy that is already 60% instead of 64% since you posted this. No deeper comment there other than just noting how fluid this election is. We are one Harris mistake (and remember, mistake tolerance for Harris is significantly lower than Trump; Trump is basically one long series of mistakes that has little effect on his numbers; if Harris mispronounces Gaza once she loses 5%), one unexpected event, one butterfly-wing flap from those numbers going to even or worse.

    40% of the time Trump wins. 40% of the time, an authoritarian leader assumes the presidency of the most powerful country in the world.

    I stand by my statement that no Harris supporter should feel confident or comfortable. That’s… frighteningly high.


  • This post is further evidence that everyone should be required to take a statistics course. It’s like saying “statistical probability says there is a 66.6% chance of me rolling this six-sided die and getting a 1, 2, 3, or 4, but I rolled a 5, so that model is WRONG!!”

    I hope you can see how dumb that sounds.

    Additionally, Lichtman referred to the popular vote in his book, essay on the topic (neither of which I assume you’ve read), and in all previous predictions. So he was actually wrong about his 2016 prediction given Trump lost the popular vote, much though Lichtman has tried to revise history since then.