

It’s not an assumption it’s just a matter of practical reality. If we’re at best a decade off from that point why pretend it could suddenly unexpectedly improve to the point it’s unrecognizable from its current state? LLMs are neat, scientists should keep working on them and if it weren’t for all the nonsense “Ai” hype we have currently I’d expect to see them used rarely but quite successfully as it would be getting used off of merit, not hype.
It’s actually much more valuable when kept around for blackmail and fun things of that sort. Only once everybody in power in dead or stripped of it will anybody genuinely try and bring any of it to the public