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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 21st, 2023

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  • You don’t need to poll everyone to get relatively accurate polling results.

    I have a related degree, it is possible with the necessary caveats, margins of error and confidence intervals. Statistics is a wonderful thing.

    This being said, I actually read the full 77 page document they linked to, and if I’m not mistaken the 55% comes from a 2021 telephone poll. Obviously phone only polls are likely to be biased, even if you correct for demographic factors like age.

    Then again, inflation is a problem.


  • I have a related degree.

    The study was conducted for CNN via web and telephone on the SSRS Opinion Panel, a nationally representative panel of U.S. adults ages 18 or older recruited using probability-based sampling techniques.

    BUT…

    In a January 2021 poll taken just before Trump left office and days after the January 6 attack on the US Capitol, 55% considered his time as president a failure.

    Relevant bit:

    Unless otherwise noted, results beginning with the August 3-6, 2017 survey and ending with the April 21-26, 2021 survey are from polls conducted by SSRS via telephone only

    TLDR: doubt those polls are representative.










    1. Manhole covers are not heavy as fuck. They’re meant to be able to lift out. I’ve lifted far larger ones than this no problem.
    2. This manhole cover is at most 30x30cm judging by OP’s foot, so weights at most a few kilos.
    3. This is a small cover, probably covering a drain, not a hole to the centre of the earth. I have a few around the house. Cable tie, piece of string, lift it out no problem. You lift and slide it aside, it’s not going to fall in unless you’re a complete moron or drunk. If it does fall in, you pull it out, because it doesn’t weigh 100 kg.
    4. If you’re worried that this would take your finger off, you’re the kind of person who should hire an electrician to change a light bulb.