I program in a custom built legacy code base built in basic. There is no way AI is taking this job. The code is filled with magic numbers that you just have to know what they do. I lose hair daily.
Yea and the invention of the camera was also not taking painters jobs since there remainl contexts where it’s relevant, right? No, actually most painting jobs before the camera consisted of just replicating reality and those were now gone.
Quite easy to be cheaper than the billion dollar investment that will coming crashing down in 6 months with huge losses when you need to quickly hire actual developers.
And dont get me wrong. I see the appeal. The non-tech savvy CEO is promised huge savings by big tech if they use AI instead of good developers… However, in reality the product wont get shipped faster and the tech debt will increase ten-fold. The AI strat works if youre running a scam you expect to shit down quickly either way, so ig it makes sense why crypto bros and NFT lovers like it.
I don’t expect it to crash. Not only because of sunken cost fallacy but also because most people are not able to recognize quality. They’re too dumb for that.
It will definitely crash because it’s being kept afloat by VC money right now. Once that dries up and these AI companies start raising their rates to generate a profit companies are going to realize the AI is way more expensive than an actual programmer. It’s also not a question of recognizing quality because companies have all kinds of metrics in place explicitly for trying to measure program quality (usually poorly, but what they do measure incredibly well is how many bugs software has and how long it takes to deliver new features).
While AI can deliver code quickly not only is that code low quality and incredibly hard to fix it’s also riddled with both obvious and subtle bugs. The QA departments are going to be working overtime and scaling up massively to try to keep up with the pure crap the new vibe coding departments are going to be churning out. The executives won’t be able to tell if the code is low quality, but they will be able to read the reports showing they went from a month to deliver a new release with a 10% defect rate to two months to deliver a release with a 50% defect rate, and it’s still costing them nearly the same amount despite a significantly reduced head count.
It will definitely crash because it’s being kept afloat by VC money right now. Once that dries up
…Trump and his MAGAs step in like they did with Intel recently. There’s still plenty of money left to make the AI bubble grow much larger (Just think of all the money in social services). Remember that the MAGAs and tech bros are allies.
I would love to see the bubble burst soon in a healthy way but I rather expect the entire economy to collapse first before this happens, taking the AI bubble with it. Call me a doomer or whatever, but there is simply no reason to believe in enough critical thinking left to see the damage already caused by AI and the future damage.
Take my angry vote. Code quality is not a concern for the companies who choose to rely on AI coding. They don’t and have never seen the value in actual humans.
Unfortunately correct, I’ve seen this strategy work already. I wonder if it will end up being a veritable race to the wage floor for workers.
I’ve seen others go the “grass fed, free range, human made, artisan software” route as well, utterly opposing ai assistance.
At some point there must have somebody out there making sweaters and swearing up and down that machines could never do their job as well, but at the end of the day the employee who makes the shirt doesn’t decide if their job will be automated. The boss cares about the economics and even if the product is inferior they will choose the cheaper option.
What matters is cost, not skill. If you want to get hired, be cheaper than AI.
In some contexts, perhaps. I assure you that skill will remain relevant when programming aircraft or nuclear reactors
Boeing doesn’t even think aeronautic engineers are necessary for building aircraft, but I digress
I program in a custom built legacy code base built in basic. There is no way AI is taking this job. The code is filled with magic numbers that you just have to know what they do. I lose hair daily.
AI has already arrived in nuclear power plants. I don’t expect aircraft design and control to be the big exception.
Yea and the invention of the camera was also not taking painters jobs since there remainl contexts where it’s relevant, right? No, actually most painting jobs before the camera consisted of just replicating reality and those were now gone.
Quite easy to be cheaper than the billion dollar investment that will coming crashing down in 6 months with huge losses when you need to quickly hire actual developers.
And dont get me wrong. I see the appeal. The non-tech savvy CEO is promised huge savings by big tech if they use AI instead of good developers… However, in reality the product wont get shipped faster and the tech debt will increase ten-fold. The AI strat works if youre running a scam you expect to shit down quickly either way, so ig it makes sense why crypto bros and NFT lovers like it.
I don’t expect it to crash. Not only because of sunken cost fallacy but also because most people are not able to recognize quality. They’re too dumb for that.
It will definitely crash because it’s being kept afloat by VC money right now. Once that dries up and these AI companies start raising their rates to generate a profit companies are going to realize the AI is way more expensive than an actual programmer. It’s also not a question of recognizing quality because companies have all kinds of metrics in place explicitly for trying to measure program quality (usually poorly, but what they do measure incredibly well is how many bugs software has and how long it takes to deliver new features).
While AI can deliver code quickly not only is that code low quality and incredibly hard to fix it’s also riddled with both obvious and subtle bugs. The QA departments are going to be working overtime and scaling up massively to try to keep up with the pure crap the new vibe coding departments are going to be churning out. The executives won’t be able to tell if the code is low quality, but they will be able to read the reports showing they went from a month to deliver a new release with a 10% defect rate to two months to deliver a release with a 50% defect rate, and it’s still costing them nearly the same amount despite a significantly reduced head count.
…Trump and his MAGAs step in like they did with Intel recently. There’s still plenty of money left to make the AI bubble grow much larger (Just think of all the money in social services). Remember that the MAGAs and tech bros are allies.
I would love to see the bubble burst soon in a healthy way but I rather expect the entire economy to collapse first before this happens, taking the AI bubble with it. Call me a doomer or whatever, but there is simply no reason to believe in enough critical thinking left to see the damage already caused by AI and the future damage.
Take my angry vote. Code quality is not a concern for the companies who choose to rely on AI coding. They don’t and have never seen the value in actual humans.
Correct. And it’s not just coding either. What can be replaced with AI will be replaced as long as the savings exceed damage costs.
Unfortunately correct, I’ve seen this strategy work already. I wonder if it will end up being a veritable race to the wage floor for workers.
I’ve seen others go the “grass fed, free range, human made, artisan software” route as well, utterly opposing ai assistance.
At some point there must have somebody out there making sweaters and swearing up and down that machines could never do their job as well, but at the end of the day the employee who makes the shirt doesn’t decide if their job will be automated. The boss cares about the economics and even if the product is inferior they will choose the cheaper option.
Correct. That’s how our entire economy works, this is how every company survives and expands.