I’d like to extend that graph a couple of years to the left. The analyses I’ve seen clearly demonstrate that this is a regression to mean after a post-Covid hiring spike. By looking at such a narrow window over such a fraught time, it looks like it could be saying anything here.

Are these workers? This is showing a real problem. Job openings? Not nearly as concerning. Without showing this in historical context, this is really dubious journalism.

Whenever this gets posted, someone (rightly) remarks how short-sighted this is regarding the fact that if there are now juniors now, there won’t be any seniors in a few years.

And while that is true, I do envy the lack of cynicism of these people. To me it seems quite clear that the hope from the owning and ruling class is that the AI tools become “good enough” to do away with the entire ladder.

I truly believe this is one example where this is not necessarily (only) stupidity or incompetence, but also malice.